Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.704657 2.125254 2.675901 3.473115 4.640816 6.366232 9.279998
2025-02-02 1.208411 1.678490 2.404006 3.697419 6.195073 11.553877 27.408231
2025-02-09 0.927537 1.372146 2.130702 3.684365 7.378675 18.459356 83.832450
2025-02-16 0.744856 1.147231 1.880570 3.535753 8.152105 26.851681 304.102562
2025-02-23 0.645962 1.032172 1.780729 3.638848 9.778200 46.036178 6340.910320
2025-03-02 0.580511 0.958660 1.734069 3.842829 12.160922 92.107282 NaN
2025-03-09 0.517892 0.875583 1.639660 3.866088 14.019266 176.175835 NaN
2025-03-16 0.456900 0.783807 1.500291 3.683275 14.680825 286.750544 NaN
2025-03-23 0.426206 0.747840 1.481722 3.884683 18.260549 1046.393677 NaN
2025-03-30 0.393369 0.701553 1.425743 3.929405 21.159728 5668.612880 NaN
2025-04-06 0.359556 0.648038 1.339079 3.816451 22.644405 67366.085501 NaN
2025-04-13 0.331744 0.603939 1.268096 3.735048 24.493906 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.321450 0.598209 1.301663 4.134884 34.851668 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.307709 0.582658 1.304744 4.415315 47.166697 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.288228 0.550967 1.253540 4.397536 54.472657 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.267289 0.513380 1.177466 4.207863 56.487522 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.255224 0.495873 1.159804 4.339188 72.093468 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.246508 0.485466 1.162307 4.600143 102.550283 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.234597 0.465690 1.130522 4.629987 126.071228 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.219725 0.437002 1.064436 4.395898 126.050003 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.213432 0.429555 1.068481 4.653858 191.414330 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.204799 0.415164 1.046081 4.711320 251.278362 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.194330 0.395054 1.000467 4.566317 272.455596 NaN NaN